Shift4 Payments Valuation

FOUR Stock  USD 58.21  4.09  7.56%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Shift4 Payments has a current Real Value of $66.53 per share. The regular price of the company is $58.21. Our model measures the value of Shift4 Payments from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 67.56 M, return on equity of 0.14, and Operating Margin of 0.11 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Shift4 Payments' valuation include:
Price Book
5.3474
Enterprise Value
8.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.0956
Price Sales
1.2366
Forward PE
8.5616
Undervalued
Today
58.21
Please note that Shift4 Payments' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Shift4 Payments is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Shift4 Payments' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Shift4 stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Shift4 Payments. Since Shift4 Payments is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Shift4 Stock. However, Shift4 Payments' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  58.21 Real  66.53 Target  88.83 Hype  58.13 Naive  52.83
The intrinsic value of Shift4 Payments' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Shift4 Payments' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
66.53
Real Value
69.18
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Shift4 Payments helps investors to forecast how Shift4 stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Shift4 Payments more accurately as focusing exclusively on Shift4 Payments' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.091.631.96
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.4858.1360.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
50.1852.8355.48
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
80.8388.8398.60
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Shift4 Payments' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Shift4 Payments' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Shift4 Payments' closest peers.

Shift4 Payments Cash

724.62 Million

Shift4 Revenue by Product

Shift4 Payments Total Value Analysis

Shift4 Payments is currently anticipated to have valuation of 8.28 B with market capitalization of 4.8 B, debt of 2.88 B, and cash on hands of 672.7 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Shift4 Payments fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
8.28 B
4.8 B
2.88 B
672.7 M

Shift4 Payments Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.27. Shift4 Payments had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the September 14, 1999. Based on the key indicators related to Shift4 Payments' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Shift4 Payments is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities604.1 M575.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Shift4 Payments Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Shift4 Payments has an asset utilization ratio of 66.06 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.66 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Shift4 Payments is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Shift4 Payments Profitability Analysis

Based on Shift4 Payments' profitability indicators, Shift4 Payments is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Shift4 Payments' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2019-03-31
Previous Quarter
34 M
Current Value
28.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
30.5 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Shift4 Payments' Gross Profit is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/05/2026, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.07, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop (0.0005).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.20.26
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
For Shift4 Payments profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Shift4 Payments to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Shift4 Payments utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Shift4 Payments's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Shift4 Payments over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Shift4 Payments Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Shift4 Payments is estimated to be 1.62995 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.0925 to a high of 1.9625. Shift4 Payments' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.14. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Shift4 Payments is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Shift4 Payments is projected to generate 1.62995 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Shift4 Payments earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Shift4 Payments EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Shift4 Payments' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Shift4 Payments, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Shift4 Payments Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Shift4 Payments' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Shift4 Payments is estimated to be 1.62995 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.0925 to a high of 1.9625. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Shift4 Payments is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.09
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.62995
1.96
Highest

Shift4 Payments Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Shift4 Payments' value are higher than the current market price of the Shift4 Payments stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Shift4 Payments is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Shift4 Payments' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2469.59%
0.0
1.62995
2.14

Shift4 Payments Ownership Allocation

The majority of Shift4 Payments outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Shift4 Payments to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Shift4 Payments. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Shift4 Payments as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Shift4 Payments Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.33 B. Net Income was 294.5 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 B.

About Shift4 Payments Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Shift4 Payments' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Shift4 Payments based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Shift4 Payments. We calculate exposure to Shift4 Payments's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Shift4 Payments's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.1 B1.2 B
Operating Profit Margin 0.07  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.06  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.26  0.20 

Shift4 Payments Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Shift4 Payments does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.765
Forward Price Earnings8.5616

Shift4 Payments Current Valuation Indicators

Shift4 Payments' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Shift4 Payments' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Shift4 Payments, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Shift4 Payments' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Shift4 Payments' worth.

Additional Tools for Shift4 Stock Analysis

When running Shift4 Payments' price analysis, check to measure Shift4 Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shift4 Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Shift4 Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shift4 Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shift4 Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shift4 Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.